Vittsjo W vs Norrkoping W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-08-23 · 15:00 CET
WLDWW
LLWLDThe score model made a Vittsjo W win the most likely outcome at 41%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 38%). It finished 1:1 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Vittsjo W 1.20 – 1.02 Norrkoping W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vittsjo W win | 40.8% | 38.9% | +1.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.1% | 27.5% | -0.4% | ✓ |
| Norrkoping W win | 32.1% | 33.6% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.3% | 52.3% | -14.0% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.5% | 31.9% | -13.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 43.9% | 56.8% | -12.9% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 63.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 24.1% | 36.0% | -11.9% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Vittsjo W 34.1 / Norrkoping W 33.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.