Suwon Bluewings vs Yongin
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-11-08 · 06:00 CET
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DLLWWThe score model makes a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely outcome at 62%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 55%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 67.0% vs 62.0% implied (+5.1 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Suwon Bluewings 1.98 – 0.91 Yongin.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon Bluewings win | 61.9% | 69.3% | -7.3% |
| Draw | 21.8% | 18.3% | +3.4% |
| Yongin win | 16.3% | 12.4% | +3.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.3% | 58.7% | -3.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.0% | 38.0% | -5.1% |
| Both teams to score | 52.0% | 48.9% | +3.1% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.6% | 40.4% | -4.8% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Suwon Bluewings 46.8 / Yongin 23.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Suwon Bluewings vs Yongin in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.