Yongin vs Gyeongnam
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-09-20 · 09:30 CET
LDLLW
WDLDLThe score model made a Yongin win the most likely outcome at 43%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 48%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Yongin 1.42 – 1.16 Gyeongnam.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yongin win | 42.5% | 39.6% | +2.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.2% | 28.4% | -1.2% | ✓ |
| Gyeongnam win | 30.3% | 31.9% | -1.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.8% | 47.3% | +0.4% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.1% | 27.2% | -1.1% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 52.6% | 53.4% | -0.7% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 29.9% | 32.5% | -2.7% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Yongin 20.6 / Gyeongnam 48.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Yongin vs Gyeongnam in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.