Gimpo FC vs Cheongju
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-08-07 · 10:30
The score model makes a Gimpo FC win the most likely outcome at 50%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 33%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Gimpo FC 1.31 – 0.72 Cheongju.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo FC win | 50.1% | 52.7% | -2.6% |
| Draw | 29.8% | 26.4% | +3.3% |
| Cheongju win | 20.1% | 20.8% | -0.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33.1% | 45.9% | -12.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14.8% | 25.6% | -10.8% |
| Both teams to score | 37.9% | 48.2% | -10.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 54.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 19.2% | 31.5% | -12.3% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Gimpo FC 48.8 / Cheongju 47.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.