Gimpo FC vs Gyeongnam
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-08-02 · 10:30
The score model makes a Gimpo FC win the most likely outcome at 46%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 39%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Gimpo FC 1.34 – 0.90 Gyeongnam.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo FC win | 46.4% | 46.2% | +0.3% |
| Draw | 28.8% | 28.7% | +0.1% |
| Gyeongnam win | 24.8% | 25.1% | -0.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.9% | 43.9% | -5.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.9% | 24.0% | -5.1% |
| Both teams to score | 44.4% | 49.1% | -4.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 61.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 24.7% | 30.2% | -5.6% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Gimpo FC 48.2 / Gyeongnam 48.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.