Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-11-08 · 08:30 CET
DLLLL
DWLDDThe score model makes a Bucheon FC 1995 win the most likely outcome at 35%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 45%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Bucheon FC 1995 win — 35.0% vs 31.3% implied (+3.7 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 1.24 – 1.24 Pohang.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 35.0% | 31.3% | +3.7% |
| Draw | 30.1% | 28.9% | +1.2% |
| Pohang win | 34.9% | 39.8% | -4.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.0% | 43.9% | +1.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.7% | 24.4% | -0.7% |
| Both teams to score | 51.8% | 50.0% | +1.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 66.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 29.5% | 30.7% | -1.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Bucheon FC 1995 26 / Pohang 48.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.