Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-08-08 · 11:00
The score model makes a Bucheon FC 1995 win the most likely outcome at 50%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 40%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 1.42 – 0.85 Gwangju FC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 49.7% | 48.0% | +1.7% |
| Draw | 28.4% | 29.2% | -0.7% |
| Gwangju FC win | 21.9% | 22.9% | -1.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.6% | 41.1% | -1.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.5% | 21.9% | -2.4% |
| Both teams to score | 44.1% | 46.1% | -2.0% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 56.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 21.6% | 28.9% | -7.3% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bucheon FC 1995 17.9 / Gwangju FC 44.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.