Podbrezova vs Ruzomberok
Nike liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-08 · 15:30 CET
WLLWL
LDWLWThe score model makes a Podbrezova win the most likely outcome at 56%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 56%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 65.9% vs 56.7% implied (+9.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Podbrezova 1.86 – 1.09 Ruzomberok.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Podbrezova win | 55.6% | 52.8% | +2.8% |
| Draw | 22.3% | 23.3% | -1.1% |
| Ruzomberok win | 22.2% | 23.9% | -1.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% | 63.9% | -7.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.1% | 43.3% | -9.2% |
| Both teams to score | 55.8% | 63.5% | -7.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.6% | 44.2% | -7.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Podbrezova 44.3 / Ruzomberok 44.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Podbrezova vs Ruzomberok in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.