Komarno vs Michalovce
Nike liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-08 · 18:00 CET
LDLDW
WLDLLThe score model makes a Komarno win the most likely outcome at 47%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 71.2% vs 61.2% implied (+9.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Komarno 1.54 – 1.15 Michalovce.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Komarno win | 46.6% | 55.7% | -9.1% |
| Draw | 24.9% | 23.6% | +1.4% |
| Michalovce win | 28.5% | 20.8% | +7.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% | 56.5% | -6.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.2% | 35.7% | -7.5% |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% | 56.0% | -2.6% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 28.8% | 38.8% | -9.9% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Komarno 38.6 / Michalovce 44.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Komarno vs Michalovce in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.