Dun. Streda vs Kosice
Nike liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-07 · 18:00 CET
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DDDLWThe score model makes a Dun. Streda win the most likely outcome at 68%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 70%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Dun. Streda win — 68.2% vs 59.9% implied (+8.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Dun. Streda 2.51 – 1.10 Kosice.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dun. Streda win | 68.2% | 59.9% | +8.3% |
| Draw | 17.0% | 21.1% | -4.1% |
| Kosice win | 14.8% | 19.0% | -4.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.8% | 66.3% | +3.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.6% | 46.8% | +1.8% |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% | 62.6% | -1.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 81.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 50.1% | 46.5% | +3.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Dun. Streda 44.6 / Kosice 43.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Dun. Streda vs Kosice in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.