Zilina B vs I. Bratislava
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-15 · 10:30 CET
LDWLL
WDDLWThe score model makes an I. Bratislava win the most likely outcome at 41%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 56%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 65.9% vs 61.0% implied (+4.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Zilina B 1.40 – 1.54 I. Bratislava.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zilina B win | 34.8% | 36.9% | -2.1% |
| Draw | 24.1% | 25.6% | -1.5% |
| I. Bratislava win | 41.1% | 37.5% | +3.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% | 59.7% | -3.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.1% | 39.0% | -4.9% |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% | 62.9% | -3.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.6% | 41.2% | -1.7% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Zilina B 43.1 / I. Bratislava 30.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Zilina B vs I. Bratislava in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.