Slovan Bratislava B vs Malzenice
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-15 · 10:30 CET
WDDDW
LDWDLThe score model makes a Slovan Bratislava B win the most likely outcome at 51%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 56%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 63.6% vs 60.0% implied (+3.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava B 1.75 – 1.17 Malzenice.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Bratislava B win | 51.2% | 51.3% | -0.1% |
| Draw | 23.2% | 24.6% | -1.4% |
| Malzenice win | 25.7% | 24.1% | +1.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.0% | 57.0% | -1.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.6% | 36.8% | -3.2% |
| Both teams to score | 56.9% | 58.6% | -1.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.4% | 40.0% | -3.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Slovan Bratislava B 43.1 / Malzenice 42 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Slovan Bratislava B vs Malzenice in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.