Galanta vs L. Mikulas
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-14 · 13:00 CET
WWDLW
LWLWWThe score model makes a Galanta win the most likely outcome at 44%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Galanta win — 43.7% vs 32.6% implied (+11.1 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Galanta 1.67 – 1.42 L. Mikulas.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galanta win | 43.7% | 32.6% | +11.1% |
| Draw | 23.3% | 25.1% | -1.8% |
| L. Mikulas win | 33.0% | 42.3% | -9.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% | 59.7% | +0.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.5% | 39.0% | -1.5% |
| Both teams to score | 61.5% | 62.4% | -0.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.9% | 41.4% | -0.5% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Galanta 14.4 / L. Mikulas 42 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Galanta vs L. Mikulas in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.