L. Mikulas vs MFK Bytca
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-09 · 17:00 CET
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LWLLLThe score model makes a L. Mikulas win the most likely outcome at 77%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 68%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Both teams to score — 52.1% vs 48.2% implied (+3.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: L. Mikulas 2.70 – 0.82 MFK Bytca.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mikulas win | 77.1% | 79.0% | -2.0% |
| Draw | 14.1% | 13.3% | +0.8% |
| MFK Bytca win | 8.8% | 7.7% | +1.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.2% | 68.1% | +0.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.7% | 49.5% | -2.8% |
| Both teams to score | 52.1% | 48.2% | +3.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 80.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 48.1% | 48.1% | +0.0% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: L. Mikulas 41.4 / MFK Bytca 13.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open L. Mikulas vs MFK Bytca in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.