Zvolen vs Galanta
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-07 · 13:00 CET
LLWLW
LWWDLThe score model makes a Zvolen win the most likely outcome at 48%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 57%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Galanta win — 28.6% vs 24.4% implied (+4.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Zvolen 1.71 – 1.27 Galanta.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zvolen win | 47.8% | 50.0% | -2.2% |
| Draw | 23.6% | 25.6% | -1.9% |
| Galanta win | 28.6% | 24.4% | +4.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.2% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.8% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 58.8% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.9% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Zvolen 37.3 / Galanta 13.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Zvolen vs Galanta in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.