I. Bratislava vs Povazska Bystrica
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-11-07 · 13:00 CET
DWDDL
WDLWWThe score model makes an I. Bratislava win the most likely outcome at 49%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). The data's biggest gap to the market: I. Bratislava win — 49.3% vs 43.4% implied (+5.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: I. Bratislava 1.76 – 1.26 Povazska Bystrica.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Bratislava win | 49.3% | 43.4% | +5.9% |
| Draw | 23.3% | 26.3% | -3.0% |
| Povazska Bystrica win | 27.4% | 30.3% | -2.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 59.2% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.6% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: I. Bratislava 30.1 / Povazska Bystrica 42.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open I. Bratislava vs Povazska Bystrica in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.