Edinburgh City vs Clyde
League Two, Scotland · 2026-11-14 · 16:00 CET
DLDWD
LWWDWThe score model makes a Clyde win the most likely outcome at 39%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Edinburgh City win — 35.8% vs 29.7% implied (+6.1 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Edinburgh City 1.52 – 1.60 Clyde.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City win | 35.8% | 29.7% | +6.1% |
| Draw | 25.3% | 25.0% | +0.3% |
| Clyde win | 38.9% | 45.3% | -6.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% | 59.1% | +1.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.9% | 38.2% | -0.3% |
| Both teams to score | 63.1% | 61.3% | +1.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.7% | 40.9% | -1.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Edinburgh City 41.6 / Clyde 46.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Edinburgh City vs Clyde in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.