Clyde vs Spartans
League Two, Scotland · 2026-11-07 · 16:00 CET
DLWWD
LLWLWThe score model makes a Clyde win the most likely outcome at 47%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 64.2% vs 59.8% implied (+4.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Clyde 1.73 – 1.29 Spartans.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clyde win | 47.2% | 44.6% | +2.6% |
| Draw | 25.0% | 25.3% | -0.3% |
| Spartans win | 27.8% | 30.1% | -2.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.2% | 60.8% | -2.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% | 40.2% | -4.3% |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% | 63.0% | -2.6% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.9% | 41.7% | -1.8% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Clyde 45.9 / Spartans 46 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Clyde vs Spartans in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.