Ross County vs Peterhead
League One, Scotland · 2026-11-07 · 16:00 CET
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LLWLWThe score model makes a Ross County win the most likely outcome at 83%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 71%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Ross County win — 83.3% vs 77.2% implied (+6.1 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Ross County 3.02 – 0.68 Peterhead.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County win | 83.3% | 77.2% | +6.1% |
| Draw | 11.7% | 14.6% | -2.9% |
| Peterhead win | 5.1% | 8.3% | -3.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.6% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 81.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 50.9% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Ross County 12 / Peterhead 33.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Ross County vs Peterhead in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.