LKS Lodz vs S. Rzeszow
Division 1, Poland · 2026-11-08 · 14:30 CET
LLWWD
WLWLDThe score model makes an LKS Lodz win the most likely outcome at 52%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 55%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 67.7% vs 62.3% implied (+5.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: LKS Lodz 1.76 – 1.10 S. Rzeszow.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz win | 52.3% | 55.8% | -3.5% |
| Draw | 24.5% | 23.6% | +0.9% |
| S. Rzeszow win | 23.2% | 20.6% | +2.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% | 57.7% | -3.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% | 37.7% | -5.3% |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% | 56.5% | -0.6% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.4% | 38.9% | -1.5% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: LKS Lodz 42 / S. Rzeszow 46.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open LKS Lodz vs S. Rzeszow in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.