Grodzisk M. vs S. Rzeszow
Division 1, Poland · 2026-08-14 · 18:00 CET
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LDLLDThe score model makes a Grodzisk M. win the most likely outcome at 53%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 63%). No market here diverges from the data by more than 2 points. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Grodzisk M. 1.99 – 1.27 S. Rzeszow.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grodzisk M. win | 53.4% | 51.6% | +1.7% |
| Draw | 23.2% | 24.2% | -1.0% |
| S. Rzeszow win | 23.4% | 24.2% | -0.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.1% | 62.8% | +0.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.9% | 42.5% | -1.5% |
| Both teams to score | 62.7% | 63.0% | -0.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 76.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 42.7% | 43.7% | -1.0% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Grodzisk M. 25.6 / S. Rzeszow 44.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
Track your pick
My record →Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.