Viking vs KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien, Norway · 2026-11-08 · 17:00 CET
WWWWL
WWDDDThe score model makes a Viking win the most likely outcome at 76%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 69%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 52.6% vs 48.2% implied (+4.4 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Viking 2.69 – 0.86 KFUM Oslo.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking win | 76.0% | 77.6% | -1.6% |
| Draw | 14.3% | 13.6% | +0.8% |
| KFUM Oslo win | 9.6% | 8.8% | +0.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 71.5% | -2.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.4% | 51.8% | -4.4% |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% | 53.9% | -0.1% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 47.5% | 50.3% | -2.8% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Viking 42.2 / KFUM Oslo 39.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Viking vs KFUM Oslo in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.