FC Emmen vs Oss
Eerste Divisie, Netherlands · 2026-09-26 · 20:00 CET
DWWWL
LWWLDThe score model made an FC Emmen win the most likely outcome at 53%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). It finished 1:0 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: FC Emmen 1.88 – 1.23 Oss.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen win | 52.9% | 58.6% | -5.6% | ✓ |
| Draw | 22.1% | 21.9% | +0.1% | ✗ |
| Oss win | 25.0% | 19.5% | +5.5% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% | 63.0% | -2.9% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.7% | 42.7% | -5.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 59.7% | 60.5% | -0.8% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.4% | 43.8% | -7.4% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: FC Emmen 46.3 / Oss 48.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open FC Emmen vs Oss in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.