Pro Vercelli vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
Serie C - Group A, Italy · 2026-11-07 · 14:30 CET
WLLWD
LLLLLThe score model makes a Pro Vercelli win the most likely outcome at 46%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 45%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Pro Vercelli win — 46.4% vs 43.3% implied (+3.0 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Pro Vercelli 1.45 – 1.01 Dolomiti Bellunesi.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Vercelli win | 46.4% | 43.3% | +3.0% |
| Draw | 28.2% | 29.3% | -1.1% |
| Dolomiti Bellunesi win | 25.5% | 27.4% | -1.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.5% | 44.8% | -0.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.3% | 25.9% | -2.6% |
| Both teams to score | 49.5% | 50.3% | -0.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 66.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.1% | 31.2% | -1.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Pro Vercelli 50.1 / Dolomiti Bellunesi 32.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Pro Vercelli vs Dolomiti Bellunesi in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.