Nyiregyhaza vs Gyor
NB I., Hungary · 2026-11-08 · 13:15 CET
DLLWL
WLWWDThe score model makes a Gyor win the most likely outcome at 42%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 57%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Gyor win — 42.0% vs 28.8% implied (+13.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Nyiregyhaza 1.36 – 1.59 Gyor.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza win | 31.9% | 45.9% | -14.0% |
| Draw | 26.1% | 25.3% | +0.7% |
| Gyor win | 42.0% | 28.8% | +13.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.7% | 59.2% | -2.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.3% | 38.6% | -4.3% |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% | 61.6% | -1.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.7% | 40.8% | -5.1% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Nyiregyhaza 38.5 / Gyor 38.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Nyiregyhaza vs Gyor in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.