Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis B
Super League 2, Greece · 2026-11-08 · 17:00 CET
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WDDDDThe score model makes a Chrisoupolis win the most likely outcome at 44%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 41%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Chrisoupolis win — 43.8% vs 37.4% implied (+6.4 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Chrisoupolis 1.32 – 1.00 Asteras Tripolis B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chrisoupolis win | 43.8% | 37.4% | +6.4% |
| Draw | 28.0% | 30.1% | -2.2% |
| Asteras Tripolis B win | 28.3% | 32.4% | -4.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.0% | 40.0% | +1.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.6% | 20.6% | -0.0% |
| Both teams to score | 46.5% | 47.5% | -1.0% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 64.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 27.3% | 28.7% | -1.4% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Chrisoupolis 24.3 / Asteras Tripolis B 26.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis B in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.