Hannover II vs SC Weiche-08
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-11-07 · 15:00 CET
WWWWL
WWWLDThe score model makes a Hannover II win the most likely outcome at 42%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Hannover II win — 42.4% vs 36.2% implied (+6.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Hannover II 1.82 – 1.61 SC Weiche-08.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover II win | 42.4% | 36.2% | +6.2% |
| Draw | 24.0% | 23.5% | +0.4% |
| SC Weiche-08 win | 33.7% | 40.3% | -6.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.5% | 61.8% | +4.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.7% | 39.4% | +5.2% |
| Both teams to score | 67.7% | 63.5% | +4.2% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.9% | 47.4% | -1.5% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Hannover II 39.6 / SC Weiche-08 49.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Hannover II vs SC Weiche-08 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.