Delmenhorst vs Schoningen
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-11-07 · 15:00 CET
WDWDD
DLLLLThe score model makes a Delmenhorst win the most likely outcome at 54%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 56%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Delmenhorst win — 54.3% vs 43.5% implied (+10.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Delmenhorst 1.85 – 1.09 Schoningen.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delmenhorst win | 54.3% | 43.5% | +10.8% |
| Draw | 24.4% | 25.4% | -1.0% |
| Schoningen win | 21.3% | 31.1% | -9.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% | 53.8% | +2.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.1% | 31.2% | +2.8% |
| Both teams to score | 56.9% | 57.1% | -0.2% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.9% | 41.6% | -4.8% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Delmenhorst 15.3 / Schoningen 32.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Delmenhorst vs Schoningen in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.