Bremer vs SC Weiche-08
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-09-27 · 15:00 CET
LLLWD
WWWLDThe score model made an SC Weiche-08 win the most likely outcome at 40%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). It finished 0:3 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bremer 1.48 – 1.59 SC Weiche-08.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bremer win | 35.3% | 26.0% | +9.3% | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.7% | 22.3% | +2.5% | ✗ |
| SC Weiche-08 win | 40.0% | 51.7% | -11.7% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.3% | 66.6% | -7.3% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% | 46.9% | -10.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% | 65.7% | -3.7% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.6% | 46.2% | -8.6% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bremer 46.8 / SC Weiche-08 47.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Bremer vs SC Weiche-08 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.