Le Havre W vs Paris FC W
Division 1 Women, France · 2026-11-14 · 17:00 CET
WDDDL
WWWDWThe score model makes a Paris FC W win the most likely outcome at 80%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Le Havre W 0.67 – 2.72 Paris FC W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre W win | 5.9% | — | — |
| Draw | 14.2% | — | — |
| Paris FC W win | 79.8% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.9% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 46.1% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 47.4% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Le Havre W 30.1 / Paris FC W 29.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Le Havre W vs Paris FC W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.