Jippo vs SJK Akatemia
Ykkonen, Finland · 2026-08-15 · 15:00 CET
WLWLD
LLDLDThe score model made a Jippo win the most likely outcome at 59%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 42%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jippo 1.60 – 0.74 SJK Akatemia.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jippo win | 58.6% | 66.4% | -7.8% | ✗ |
| Draw | 23.8% | 20.9% | +2.9% | ✗ |
| SJK Akatemia win | 17.6% | 12.7% | +4.9% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 54.8% | -13.3% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% | 34.3% | -13.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 41.2% | 48.5% | -7.3% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 26.7% | 37.9% | -11.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jippo 34.8 / SJK Akatemia 37.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.