Jippo vs SJK Akatemia
Ykkonen, Finland · 2026-08-15 · 15:00 CET
WWDWL
DDDLLThe score model makes a Jippo win the most likely outcome at 59%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 42%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 79.1% vs 65.2% implied (+13.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jippo 1.60 – 0.74 SJK Akatemia.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jippo win | 58.6% | 65.1% | -6.5% |
| Draw | 23.8% | 21.3% | +2.4% |
| SJK Akatemia win | 17.6% | 13.6% | +4.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 54.8% | -13.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% | 34.8% | -13.9% |
| Both teams to score | 41.2% | 49.5% | -8.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 26.7% | 37.6% | -10.9% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jippo 34.9 / SJK Akatemia 37.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
Track your pick
My record →Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.