FC Copenhagen vs Brondby
Superliga, Denmark · 2026-11-08 · 12:00 CET
WWLDD
LWLWWThe score model makes an FC Copenhagen win the most likely outcome at 55%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 62.2% vs 59.3% implied (+2.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 1.97 – 1.15 Brondby.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen win | 55.3% | 55.2% | +0.0% |
| Draw | 24.1% | 22.9% | +1.2% |
| Brondby win | 20.6% | 21.9% | -1.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% | 61.6% | -1.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.8% | 40.7% | -2.9% |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% | 61.0% | -1.2% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 76.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 42.0% | 42.4% | -0.5% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: FC Copenhagen 37.3 / Brondby 38.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open FC Copenhagen vs Brondby in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.