Ostrava B vs Prostejov
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-08 · 14:30 CET
LLWDL
DDDLDThe score model makes an Ostrava B win the most likely outcome at 62%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Ostrava B win — 62.3% vs 51.7% implied (+10.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Ostrava B 2.07 – 0.99 Prostejov.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrava B win | 62.3% | 51.7% | +10.6% |
| Draw | 20.3% | 25.2% | -4.9% |
| Prostejov win | 17.4% | 23.0% | -5.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 54.9% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.6% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Ostrava B 37 / Prostejov 42.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Ostrava B vs Prostejov in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.