Usti nad Labem vs Zizkov
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-06 · 18:00 CET
WLDLL
WWDLLThe score model makes an Usti nad Labem win the most likely outcome at 56%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 63%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Usti nad Labem win — 55.9% vs 49.0% implied (+6.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Usti nad Labem 2.03 – 1.24 Zizkov.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Usti nad Labem win | 55.9% | 49.0% | +6.9% |
| Draw | 21.1% | 25.2% | -4.1% |
| Zizkov win | 23.0% | 25.8% | -2.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.3% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 61.6% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.1% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Usti nad Labem 28.5 / Zizkov 41.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Usti nad Labem vs Zizkov in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.