Opava vs Vlasim
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-06 · 18:00 CET
WWLDD
WWWLWThe score model makes an Opava win the most likely outcome at 44%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 48%). No market here diverges from the data by more than 2 points. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Opava 1.43 – 1.15 Vlasim.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opava win | 43.5% | 42.5% | +1.0% |
| Draw | 26.0% | 26.7% | -0.8% |
| Vlasim win | 30.5% | 30.7% | -0.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.9% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 51.7% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.3% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.8% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Opava 42.6 / Vlasim 42.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Opava vs Vlasim in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.