Slavia Prague vs Artis Brno
Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-08 · 15:00 CET
WWDDW
LDWDDThe score model makes a Slavia Prague win the most likely outcome at 81%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 73%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT over 1.5 goals — 52.9% vs 45.8% implied (+7.1 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Slavia Prague 3.00 – 0.79 Artis Brno.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague win | 80.9% | 79.6% | +1.3% |
| Draw | 12.8% | 14.1% | -1.3% |
| Artis Brno win | 6.3% | 6.3% | +0.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.0% | 65.9% | +7.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52.4% | 45.9% | +6.5% |
| Both teams to score | 52.5% | 46.0% | +6.6% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 83.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 52.9% | 45.8% | +7.1% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Slavia Prague 44.7 / Artis Brno 10.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Slavia Prague vs Artis Brno in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.