Banik Most-Sous vs Brozany
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-07 · 14:00 CET
LDWLD
DLLLWThe score model makes a Banik Most-Sous win the most likely outcome at 58%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 54%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 68.4% vs 59.5% implied (+8.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Banik Most-Sous 1.87 – 0.96 Brozany.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banik Most-Sous win | 58.1% | 63.1% | -5.0% |
| Draw | 23.7% | 20.4% | +3.2% |
| Brozany win | 18.2% | 16.4% | +1.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.9% | 60.9% | -7.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.6% | 40.5% | -8.9% |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% | 55.8% | -2.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.4% | 42.4% | -7.0% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Banik Most-Sous 45.4 / Brozany 45.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Banik Most-Sous vs Brozany in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.