Liberec B vs Benatky n. Jiz.
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-26 · 10:15 CET
LWWDD
WDDDDThe score model made a Liberec B win the most likely outcome at 47%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 72%). It finished 0:4 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Liberec B 2.07 – 1.66 Benatky n. Jiz..
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberec B win | 47.3% | 39.6% | +7.7% | ✗ |
| Draw | 21.8% | 25.3% | -3.5% | ✗ |
| Benatky n. Jiz. win | 30.9% | 35.0% | -4.1% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.9% | 61.7% | +10.2% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.1% | 41.3% | +9.9% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 71.1% | 65.0% | +6.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 84.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 53.9% | 43.4% | +10.5% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Liberec B 41.3 / Benatky n. Jiz. 35.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Liberec B vs Benatky n. Jiz. in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.