Motorlet Prague vs Admira Prague
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-07 · 10:15 CET
WLDWL
DWWLLThe score model makes a Motorlet Prague win the most likely outcome at 51%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 63.1% vs 57.9% implied (+5.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Motorlet Prague 1.86 – 1.22 Admira Prague.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motorlet Prague win | 51.5% | 53.3% | -1.8% |
| Draw | 24.4% | 23.1% | +1.3% |
| Admira Prague win | 24.1% | 23.6% | +0.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% | 60.9% | -1.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.2% | 40.3% | -3.1% |
| Both teams to score | 60.5% | 61.1% | -0.6% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.9% | 42.1% | -5.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Motorlet Prague 45.6 / Admira Prague 44.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Motorlet Prague vs Admira Prague in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.