Loko Praha vs Bohemians 1905 B
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-07 · 10:15 CET
LWLWD
DDWLDThe score model makes a Loko Praha win the most likely outcome at 39%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 62.0% vs 54.3% implied (+7.7 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Loko Praha 1.60 – 1.52 Bohemians 1905 B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loko Praha win | 39.1% | 38.8% | +0.2% |
| Draw | 25.6% | 25.0% | +0.6% |
| Bohemians 1905 B win | 35.4% | 36.2% | -0.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% | 65.9% | -5.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.0% | 45.7% | -7.7% |
| Both teams to score | 63.3% | 67.8% | -4.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 76.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 42.0% | 45.7% | -3.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Loko Praha 44.7 / Bohemians 1905 B 44.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Loko Praha vs Bohemians 1905 B in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.