Kraluv Dvur vs Pribram B
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-07 · 14:00 CET
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DDWLDThe score model makes a Kraluv Dvur win the most likely outcome at 57%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 55.9% vs 45.3% implied (+10.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Kraluv Dvur 2.14 – 1.26 Pribram B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraluv Dvur win | 56.6% | 67.9% | -11.3% |
| Draw | 22.1% | 18.1% | +4.1% |
| Pribram B win | 21.3% | 14.0% | +7.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.0% | 73.3% | -7.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.1% | 54.7% | -10.6% |
| Both teams to score | 64.0% | 63.7% | +0.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 80.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 48.1% | 51.4% | -3.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Kraluv Dvur 36 / Pribram B 30.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Kraluv Dvur vs Pribram B in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.