Domazlice vs Pisek
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-07 · 14:00 CET
DDLLW
DDLWWThe score model makes a Domazlice win the most likely outcome at 55%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 69%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 55.1% vs 50.7% implied (+4.4 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Domazlice 2.16 – 1.37 Pisek.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Domazlice win | 54.7% | 51.6% | +3.2% |
| Draw | 22.0% | 22.2% | -0.2% |
| Pisek win | 23.2% | 26.2% | -3.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.5% | 71.1% | -2.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.0% | 51.2% | -4.2% |
| Both teams to score | 66.8% | 69.5% | -2.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 44.9% | 49.3% | -4.4% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Domazlice 44.8 / Pisek 44.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Domazlice vs Pisek in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.