Dukla Prague B vs Bohemians 1905 B
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-27 · 10:15 CET
LLWDL
DDWLDThe score model made a Dukla Prague B win the most likely outcome at 46%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 68%). It finished 2:2 (HT 0:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Dukla Prague B 1.93 – 1.59 Bohemians 1905 B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Prague B win | 45.6% | 47.2% | -1.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 23.0% | 23.8% | -0.9% | ✓ |
| Bohemians 1905 B win | 31.4% | 29.0% | +2.4% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.3% | 65.2% | +3.1% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.8% | 45.0% | +1.8% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 68.6% | 66.1% | +2.5% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 82.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 54.7% | 44.7% | +10.0% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Dukla Prague B 43.3 / Bohemians 1905 B 42.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Dukla Prague B vs Bohemians 1905 B in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.