CRB vs Atletico GO
Serie B Superbet, Brazil · 2026-10-09 · 01:30 CET
DLWLW
DDLDWThe score model made a CRB win the most likely outcome at 42%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 43%). It finished 3:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: CRB 1.33 – 1.08 Atletico GO.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB win | 42.4% | 51.0% | -8.5% | ✓ |
| Draw | 27.1% | 25.1% | +1.9% | ✗ |
| Atletico GO win | 30.5% | 23.9% | +6.6% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.2% | 55.5% | -12.3% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.3% | 34.1% | -11.9% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% | 56.9% | -8.5% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.8% | 36.5% | -4.7% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: CRB 56.5 / Atletico GO 47.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open CRB vs Atletico GO in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.