Leuven W vs Genk W
Super League Women, Belgium · 2026-11-15 · 17:00 CET
DDLWD
WWWDLThe score model makes a Leuven W win the most likely outcome at 74%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 63%). No market here diverges from the data by more than 2 points. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Leuven W 2.47 – 0.77 Genk W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leuven W win | 73.8% | 74.0% | -0.2% |
| Draw | 17.6% | 16.6% | +0.9% |
| Genk W win | 8.6% | 9.4% | -0.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% | 62.7% | +0.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% | 41.9% | -1.2% |
| Both teams to score | 50.0% | 48.4% | +1.6% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 44.7% | 43.5% | +1.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Leuven W 31.5 / Genk W 31.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Leuven W vs Genk W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.