Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
Jupiler Pro League, Belgium · 2026-11-08 · 13:30 CET
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WWWLWThe score model makes a Club Brugge KV win the most likely outcome at 62%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 67%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 55.3% vs 52.1% implied (+3.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Club Brugge KV 2.27 – 1.15 Anderlecht.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV win | 62.0% | 62.2% | -0.2% |
| Draw | 20.2% | 20.1% | +0.1% |
| Anderlecht win | 17.8% | 17.7% | +0.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.5% | 67.7% | -1.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.7% | 47.9% | -3.2% |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% | 62.6% | -0.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.6% | 46.8% | -1.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Club Brugge KV 45.2 / Anderlecht 45.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.