Fastest starters
Shandong Taishan20%
9 of their 46 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Chengdu Rongcheng37%
19 of their 51 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
The season in numbers
The outlier
+5.7uBlindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-6.4 ptsHenan Songshan Longmen produced performances worth 6 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
38%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zhejiang Professional– Wuhan Three Towns | 2026-09-18 | 11:35 | Home win | 59.2% | 59.5% | -0.3% | 1.68 |
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 10 AugWe simulate the remaining Super League schedule 10,000 times a day. Chengdu Rongcheng win the 2026 title in 97% of them, projecting ~60 points — the race is close to decided.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Rongcheng | 45 | 60 | 55–64 | 97% | >99% | — |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 34 | 49 | 44–53 | 2% | 82% | — |
| 3 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 32 | 48 | 43–53 | 1% | 80% | — |
| 4 |  Shanghai Port | 27 | 44 | 39–49 | <1% | 41% | — |
| 5 |  Qingdao West Coast | 32 | 43 | 38–47 | <1% | 20% | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 |  Qingdao Hainiu | 21 | 30 | 26–35 | — | — | <1% |
| 15 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 29 | 29–29 | — | — | — |
| 16 | Liaoning Tieren | 24 | 24 | 24–24 | — | — | <1% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 69 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Super League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Draws▲ +5.7u
205 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Super League match in 2026: +5.7 units over 205 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -7.8u
205 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Super League match in 2026: -7.8 units over 205 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -13.4u
205 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Super League match in 2026: -13.4 units over 205 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -15.5u
205 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Super League match in 2026: -15.5 units over 205 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -21.6u
205 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Super League match in 2026: -21.6 units over 205 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -30.4u
205 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Super League match in 2026: -30.4 units over 205 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -32.0u
205 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Super League match in 2026: -32.0 units over 205 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 52 | 48.3 | +3.7 | |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 43 | 44.8 | -1.8 | |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan | 43 | 41.5 | +1.5 | |
| 4 | Shanghai Shenhua | 41 | 44.7 | -3.7 | |
| 5 |  Dalian Yingbo | 40 | 36.5 | +3.5 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 25 | 26.0 | -1.0 | |
| 15 | Liaoning Tieren | 25 | 29.0 | -4.0 | |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 21 | 24.1 | -3.1 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisChengdu Rongcheng52 ptsBeijing Guoan43 ptsShandong Taishan43 ptsShanghai Shenhua41 ptsDalian Yingbo40 ptsShanghai Port38 pts
Yunnan Yukun38 ptsQingdao West Coast38 pts
Zhejiang Professional33 pts
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger32 pts
Henan Songshan Longmen32 ptsChongqing Tonglianglong31 pts
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng28 ptsWuhan Three Towns25 ptsLiaoning Tieren25 ptsQingdao Hainiu21 ptsGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+