Super League 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 38 | 30.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 11 | +4.3 | +3.5 | 2:3 vs Yunnan Yukun (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (-1.1) |
2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 52 | 48.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 1 | -0.0 | +3.7 | 2:3 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Shanghai Port (-1.9) |
3 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 40 | 36.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 8 | +6.3 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs Shandong Taishan (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Yunnan Yukun (-1.9) |
4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 38 | 35.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 9 | +4.8 | -1.8 | 1:3 vs Dalian Yingbo (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.1) |
5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 25 | 32 | 30.4 | +1.6On expectation | 10 | -2.0 | +3.6 | 2:4 vs Beijing Guoan (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (-1.5) |
6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 43 | 41.5 | +1.6On expectation | 4 | +0.5 | +1.1 | 2:3 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+2.2) | 4:1 vs Qingdao Hainiu (-1.8) |
7 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 31 | 30.2 | +0.8On expectation | 12 | -1.4 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Zhejiang Professional (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Dalian Yingbo (-1.5) |
8 | Wuhan Three Towns | 24 | 25 | 25.9 | -0.8On expectation | 15 | +0.3 | -1.1 | 4:1 vs Dalian Yingbo (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Qingdao Hainiu (-1.4) |
9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 28 | 29.4 | -1.4On expectation | 13 | +3.0 | -4.4 | 1:2 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Yunnan Yukun (-1.4) |
10 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 43 | 44.9 | -1.9On expectation | 2 | -4.4 | +2.4 | 0:3 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.2) |
11 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 38 | 40.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 5 | -3.9 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Chengdu Rongcheng (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Shandong Taishan (-1.8) |
12 | Qingdao Hainiu | 26 | 21 | 24.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 16 | +3.4 | -6.5 | 1:0 vs Henan Songshan Longmen (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Chongqing Tonglianglong (-1.6) |
13 | Zhejiang Professional | 25 | 33 | 36.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 7 | -0.1 | -3.6 | 0:2 vs Henan Songshan Longmen (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Chongqing Tonglianglong (-2.2) |
14 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 41 | 44.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 3 | -6.0 | +2.2 | 4:5 vs Chengdu Rongcheng (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.1) |
15 | Liaoning Tieren | 25 | 25 | 28.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 14 | +1.1 | -5.0 | 3:1 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Qingdao West Coast (-1.9) |
16 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 25 | 32 | 38.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -6.7 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Beijing Guoan (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Qingdao Hainiu (-1.8) |
