Super League 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dalian Yingbo | 29 | 49 | 40.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | +7.3 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Shandong Taishan (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Yunnan Yukun (-1.9) |
2 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 29 | 41 | 35.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 11 | -1.9 | +7.8 | 2:4 vs Beijing Guoan (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (-1.5) |
3 | Qingdao West Coast | 29 | 39 | 33.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +2.5 | +2.9 | 2:3 vs Yunnan Yukun (+2.1) | 0:4 vs Dalian Yingbo (-1.4) |
4 | Shandong Taishan | 29 | 50 | 46.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 4 | +1.5 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+2.2) | 4:1 vs Qingdao Hainiu (-1.8) |
5 | Shanghai Port | 29 | 47 | 44.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 5 | -2.6 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Chengdu Rongcheng (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Shandong Taishan (-1.8) |
6 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 52 | 50.7 | +1.3On expectation | 2 | -3.6 | +4.9 | 0:3 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.2) |
7 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 36 | 34.9 | +1.1On expectation | 12 | -1.3 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Zhejiang Professional (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Dalian Yingbo (-1.6) |
8 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 40 | 39.0 | +1.0On expectation | 9 | +3.9 | -2.9 | 1:3 vs Dalian Yingbo (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.1) |
9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 29 | 32 | 32.6 | -0.6On expectation | 14 | +4.5 | -5.2 | 1:2 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+2.3) | 3:4 vs Yunnan Yukun (-1.4) |
10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 29 | 52 | 52.9 | -0.9On expectation | 1 | -3.6 | +2.8 | 2:3 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-1.9) |
11 | Zhejiang Professional | 29 | 39 | 42.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 7 | -0.2 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Yunnan Yukun (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Chongqing Tonglianglong (-2.3) |
12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 47 | 50.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 3 | -5.1 | +1.7 | 4:5 vs Chengdu Rongcheng (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.1) |
13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 27 | 31.4 | -4.3Underperforming | 15 | -2.1 | -2.3 | 4:1 vs Dalian Yingbo (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Qingdao Hainiu (-1.4) |
14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 29 | 21 | 25.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 16 | +2.3 | -6.8 | 4:1 vs Shandong Taishan (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Chongqing Tonglianglong (-1.6) |
15 | Liaoning Tieren | 29 | 29 | 35.4 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -0.8 | -5.5 | 3:1 vs Shanghai Shenhua (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Qingdao West Coast (-1.9) |
16 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 29 | 34 | 44.0 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 6 | -9.7 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Beijing Guoan (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Qingdao Hainiu (-1.8) |
