Super League 2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	34	65	52.0	+13.0Outperforming ++	8	+5.2	+7.8	0:1 vs Wuhan Three Towns (+2.6)	2:0 vs Dalian Pro (-1.4)
2	Zhejiang Professional	34	65	55.2	+9.8Outperforming ++	6	+8.6	+1.2	2:0 vs Shandong Taishan (+2.2)	0:2 vs Shenzhen (-2.1)
3	Shandong Taishan	34	78	70.3	+7.7Outperforming ++	2	+5.4	-3.8	3:1 vs Shanghai Port (+1.7)	2:3 vs Cangzhou (-2.4)
4	Wuhan Three Towns	34	78	71.8	+6.2Outperforming ++	1	-3.1	+6.3	1:2 vs Changchun Yatai (+1.5)	2:3 vs Changchun Yatai (-2.5)
5	Dalian Pro	34	45	39.4	+5.6Outperforming ++	12	-0.3	+2.9	1:3 vs Beijing Guoan (+2.2)	0:3 vs Guangzhou City (-1.8)
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	34	49	43.5	+5.5Outperforming ++	11	+2.5	+3.0	1:0 vs Shanghai Port (+2.2)	2:0 vs Guangzhou City (-1.9)
7	Cangzhou	34	44	38.9	+5.1Outperforming ++	13	-3.8	+5.9	2:3 vs Shandong Taishan (+2.6)	3:3 vs Guangzhou FC (-1.4)
8	Shanghai Shenhua	34	53	48.9	+4.1Outperforming	10	+2.2	+1.9	2:1 vs Shandong Taishan (+2.3)	0:2 vs Chengdu Rongcheng (-1.6)
9	Beijing Guoan	34	58	55.6	+2.4Outperforming	5	-2.1	+4.5	0:1 vs Shanghai Port (+2.1)	1:2 vs Cangzhou (-2.1)
10	Henan Songshan Longmen	34	59	57.6	+1.4On expectation	4	+2.1	-0.7	1:3 vs Wuhan Three Towns (+2.3)	0:1 vs Meizhou Hakka (-1.8)
11	Shanghai Port	34	65	65.1	-0.1On expectation	3	+2.3	-2.4	2:0 vs Shandong Taishan (+2.2)	1:0 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-2.0)
12	Meizhou Hakka	34	49	52.1	-3.1Underperforming	7	+0.9	-4.0	0:1 vs Henan Songshan Longmen (+2.1)	0:1 vs Shanghai Shenhua (-1.8)
13	Hebei	34	6	9.8	-3.8Underperforming	18	-0.2	-3.6	2:1 vs Wuhan FC (+2.5)	1:0 vs Guangzhou FC (-0.9)
14	Shenzhen	34	30	34.2	-4.2Underperforming	14	-1.3	-2.9	0:2 vs Zhejiang Professional (+2.3)	2:0 vs Hebei (-2.1)
15	Wuhan FC	34	28	32.6	-4.6Underperforming	15	-1.8	-2.8	0:1 vs Shanghai Port (+2.0)	2:1 vs Hebei (-2.2)
16	Changchun Yatai	34	44	49.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	9	-6.9	+1.2	2:3 vs Wuhan Three Towns (+2.6)	0:2 vs Cangzhou (-1.4)
17	Guangzhou City	34	23	30.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	16	-3.9	-3.7	2:0 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+2.2)	1:0 vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (-1.5)
18	Guangzhou FC	34	17	28.4	-11.4Underperforming −−	17	-3.2	-8.2	4:1 vs Shenzhen (+1.8)	1:0 vs Guangzhou City (-1.4)