Division 1 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Grodzisk M. | 9 | 18 | 12.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 9 | +4.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Legnica (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Skierniewice (-1.3) |
2 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 14 | 8.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 17 | -0.5 | +5.7 | 2:3 vs Legnica (+2.2) | 1:5 vs Chrobry Glogow (-1.4) |
3 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 12 | 8.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 18 | +4.8 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Polonia Warszawa (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.1) |
4 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 15 | 11.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 13 | +3.1 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Termalica B-B. (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Grodzisk M. (-1.5) |
5 | Termalica B-B. | 9 | 16 | 13.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 6 | +1.4 | +1.4 | 2:1 vs Lechia Gdansk (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Warta Poznan (-1.9) |
6 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 13 | 10.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 15 | +2.1 | +0.2 | 2:4 vs Polonia Warszawa (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Termalica B-B. (-1.4) |
7 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 12 | 11.5 | +0.5On expectation | 14 | -2.3 | +2.8 | 1:2 vs LKS Lodz (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Odra Opole (-1.5) |
8 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 15 | 14.8 | +0.2On expectation | 2 | +1.9 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Termalica B-B. (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Chrobry Glogow (-1.9) |
9 | Legnica | 9 | 14 | 14.0 | +0.0On expectation | 5 | -2.2 | +2.3 | 0:2 vs Ruch Chorzow (+1.9) | 2:3 vs S. Rzeszow (-1.9) |
10 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 14 | 14.8 | -0.8On expectation | 1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 1:3 vs Termalica B-B. (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Pogon Siedlce (-1.8) |
11 | Skierniewice | 9 | 10 | 11.5 | -1.5On expectation | 12 | -1.2 | -0.3 | 2:0 vs Arka Gdynia (+1.9) | 0:1 vs S. Rzeszow (-1.8) |
12 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 12 | 14.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 3 | -0.0 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs S. Rzeszow (+1.3) | 0:2 vs Legnica (-1.6) |
13 | Odra Opole | 9 | 9 | 11.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 11 | -1.8 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Chrobry Glogow (+1.8) | 0:1 vs S. Rzeszow (-1.8) |
14 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 11 | 14.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 4 | +1.2 | -4.4 | 0:1 vs Odra Opole (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Skierniewice (-1.6) |
15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 9 | 12.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 10 | -1.0 | -2.3 | 4:3 vs Warta Poznan (+1.3) | 5:2 vs Stal Mielec (-1.3) |
16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 9 | 12.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 8 | -1.8 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Skierniewice (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Pogon Siedlce (-1.5) |
17 | Puszcza | 8 | 6 | 10.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 16 | -0.7 | -3.4 | 2:0 vs Podbeskidzie (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Skierniewice (-1.5) |
18 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 8 | 12.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 7 | -2.2 | -2.4 | 3:3 vs Ruch Chorzow (+-0.1) | 2:0 vs Puszcza (-1.4) |
