Division 1hub →Division 1 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Polonia Bytom | 14 | 24 | 19.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 7 | +3.3 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Puszcza (+1.7) | 5:2 vs Stal Mielec (-1.3) |
2 | Lechia Gdansk | 14 | 22 | 18.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 13 | +4.8 | -0.8 | 2:4 vs Polonia Warszawa (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Puszcza (-1.4) |
3 | Pogon Siedlce | 14 | 19 | 15.7 | +3.4Outperforming | 17 | +3.5 | -0.1 | 1:0 vs Polonia Warszawa (+2.1) | 3:4 vs S. Rzeszow (-1.4) |
4 | Polonia Warszawa | 14 | 25 | 22.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 3 | -1.1 | +4.0 | 1:2 vs Arka Gdynia (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Pogon Siedlce (-1.8) |
5 | Grodzisk M. | 14 | 21 | 18.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 12 | +1.4 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Legnica (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Stal Mielec (-1.5) |
6 | S. Rzeszow | 14 | 18 | 15.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 18 | -2.3 | +5.2 | 2:3 vs Legnica (+2.2) | 1:5 vs Chrobry Glogow (-1.4) |
7 | LKS Lodz | 14 | 25 | 22.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 2 | +2.4 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Warta Poznan (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Chrobry Glogow (-1.9) |
8 | Termalica B-B. | 14 | 22 | 20.6 | +1.4On expectation | 6 | +1.9 | -0.5 | 2:0 vs Ruch Chorzow (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Warta Poznan (-1.9) |
9 | Stal Mielec | 14 | 19 | 18.1 | +0.8On expectation | 11 | +1.6 | -0.7 | 2:0 vs Ruch Chorzow (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Pogon Siedlce (-1.5) |
10 | Warta Poznan | 14 | 19 | 18.4 | +0.6On expectation | 10 | +2.0 | -1.4 | 1:2 vs Termalica B-B. (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Grodzisk M. (-1.5) |
11 | Ruch Chorzow | 14 | 22 | 23.2 | -1.2On expectation | 1 | +2.1 | -3.3 | 0:2 vs LKS Lodz (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Stal Mielec (-1.9) |
12 | Legnica | 14 | 20 | 21.3 | -1.3On expectation | 5 | -1.6 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs Ruch Chorzow (+1.9) | 2:3 vs S. Rzeszow (-1.9) |
13 | Chrobry Glogow | 14 | 15 | 17.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 14 | -4.1 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs LKS Lodz (+2.1) | 0:4 vs Grodzisk M. (-1.5) |
14 | Skierniewice | 14 | 14 | 17.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 16 | -2.8 | -0.5 | 3:5 vs Odra Opole (+1.9) | 0:1 vs S. Rzeszow (-1.8) |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 14 | 18 | 21.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 4 | +2.4 | -6.0 | 0:1 vs Odra Opole (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Skierniewice (-1.6) |
16 | Puszcza | 14 | 14 | 17.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 15 | -0.6 | -3.0 | 1:3 vs Pogon Siedlce (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Skierniewice (-1.4) |
17 | Podbeskidzie | 14 | 15 | 19.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 8 | +0.2 | -4.4 | 2:1 vs S. Rzeszow (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Puszcza (-1.4) |
18 | Odra Opole | 14 | 12 | 18.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.5 | -3.0 | 0:1 vs Chrobry Glogow (+1.8) | 0:1 vs S. Rzeszow (-1.8) |