Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stal Mielec | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 13 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Skierniewice (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Skierniewice (1.8) |
2 | Chrobry Glogow | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 11 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 1:5 vs S. Rzeszow (+1.7) | 1:5 vs S. Rzeszow (1.7) |
3 | Termalica B-B. | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 10 | +1.6 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs Ruch Chorzow (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Ruch Chorzow (1.6) |
4 | Polonia Warszawa | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 7 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Puszcza (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Puszcza (1.5) |
5 | Arka Gdynia | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 5 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Odra Opole (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Odra Opole (1.5) |
6 | Polonia Bytom | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 3 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 4:3 vs Warta Poznan (+1.3) | 4:3 vs Warta Poznan (1.3) |
7 | Grodzisk M. | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0On expectation | 1 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 0:3 vs Lechia Gdansk (+1.0) | 0:3 vs Lechia Gdansk (1.0) |
8 | Pogon Siedlce | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 17 | +0.1 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs LKS Lodz (+0.1) | 1:1 vs LKS Lodz (0.1) |
9 | Podbeskidzie | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Legnica (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Legnica (-0.1) |
10 | Legnica | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 4 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Podbeskidzie (+-0.6) | 1:1 vs Podbeskidzie (-0.6) |
11 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 18 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0:3 vs Grodzisk M. (+-0.8) | 0:3 vs Grodzisk M. (-0.8) |
12 | LKS Lodz | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8On expectation | 2 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:1 vs Pogon Siedlce (+-0.8) | 1:1 vs Pogon Siedlce (-0.8) |
13 | Warta Poznan | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 4:3 vs Polonia Bytom (+-1.1) | 4:3 vs Polonia Bytom (-1.1) |
14 | Odra Opole | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 14 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Arka Gdynia (+-1.2) | 0:1 vs Arka Gdynia (-1.2) |
15 | Puszcza | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 12 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Polonia Warszawa (+-1.2) | 0:1 vs Polonia Warszawa (-1.2) |
16 | Ruch Chorzow | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 9 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 2:0 vs Termalica B-B. (+-1.4) | 2:0 vs Termalica B-B. (-1.4) |
17 | S. Rzeszow | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 8 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 1:5 vs Chrobry Glogow (+-1.4) | 1:5 vs Chrobry Glogow (-1.4) |
18 | Skierniewice | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 6 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs Stal Mielec (+-1.5) | 1:2 vs Stal Mielec (-1.5) |